Thursday, August 11, 2011

Stock Market Reactions to Past Downgrades

To help us evaluate and understand the implications of current events we find it helpful to look at past market behavior.  With Standard & Poor’s downgrade of the U.S. debt rating from AAA to AA+ we were interested in learning how other markets fared after a downgrade to their credit worthiness. 

Interestingly, there have been 11 downgrades of sovereign country debt ratings over the past 25 years.  In 8 of those 11 cases, the stock markets of the affected countries were higher 12 months after the downgrade occurred, and the average stock market increase was 17%.

Source:  BlackRock, Inc.

Evansville Courier & Press Article

"But there's more to it than just riding it out. That's incomplete and overused," said Taylor Payne - read the full article here Evansville Courier & Press Article

Wednesday, August 3, 2011

Drop in the Bucket

Once again at the eleventh hour, Republican and Democratic leaders found enough common ground to avert complete gridlock past a tight deadline as they passed a bill that would allow the debt ceiling to continue to climb.  The bill promises spending cuts of $2.4 Trillion over ten years, equaling the debt ceiling increase (the debt ceiling will rise in three steps).